Possible scenario
Symbolic Diplomacy Dominates
25% Chance
The two sides meet in New York and reaffirm the Islamabad MoU, but avoid binding timelines or new funding commitments. Domestic political constraints in Pakistan and Iran's cautious post-deal diplomacy keep the process alive but slow.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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