Possible scenario
Sanctions Constraints Limit Deal
18% Chance
Even after the U.S.-Iran peace deal, banks and energy firms remain cautious about Iran-related exposure. Pakistan supports the MoU politically but avoids steps that could jeopardize IMF discussions, dollar clearing access, or relations with Washington.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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