Possible scenario
Tether Exit Accelerates
20% Chance
The EBA decision lands shortly after Tether refused an EU license and ESMA set a deadline for non-MiCA stablecoin exits. A faster-than-expected USDT pullback would increase USDC's EU market share but could temporarily fragment crypto liquidity.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- CRCL+5.2%
- +1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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