Possible scenario
Pentagon Review
40% Chance
The most likely path is a formal U.S. Defense Department review of targeting procedures, AI audit logs, and command responsibility. Officials avoid immediately canceling Maven but impose tighter human-in-the-loop requirements to contain political and legal damage.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.2%
- Industrials -0.9%
Tickers
- PLTR-8.4%
- LMT-1.4%
- RTX-1.2%
- NOC-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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