Possible scenario
Zacharia Survives Scandal
45% Chance
Trump decides the controversy is embarrassing but not disqualifying, especially because press secretary is a staff role rather than a Senate-confirmed legal post. Zacharia issues a fuller clarification, the White House tightens talking points, and the story fades unless new misstatements emerge.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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