Possible scenario
Damage Toll Worsens
25% Chance
A less favorable path is that official inspections reveal substantially more housing, road, telecom, and utility damage than the early count indicated. The situation remains a national disaster response rather than a global macro event, but Panama-exposed assets face modest pressure.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Finance -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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