Possible scenario
Policy Risk Returns
18% Chance
Currency, tax, or regulatory uncertainty reappears after the initial optimism around Milei's reforms. The investment is not cancelled, but investors demand more evidence that Argentina can maintain stable rules for multi-year energy projects.
Initial impacts
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
Tickers
- TTE-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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