Possible scenario
Review Drags On
30% Chance
The open comment window becomes a vehicle for delay as the SEC receives conflicting feedback from exchanges, consumer groups, state regulators, and Senate offices. With Congress stalled, the agency may avoid a near-term final vote to reduce litigation and political risk.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.3%
- -1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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