Possible scenario
Nominal Crew Rotation
58% Chance
The most likely path is a routine Crew Dragon flight, docking, and crew handover, reinforcing SpaceX's role as NASA's dependable ISS transport provider. Given SpaceX's long operational record since 2020, a smooth Crew-13 rotation would be treated as expected rather than market-moving.
Tickers
- SPCX+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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