Possible scenario
Raffensperger Comeback
33% Chance
Raffensperger recovers from Jackson's late-September advantage by consolidating Republican voters and leaning on the Kemp governing record. GOP outside groups nationalize the race around taxes, crime, and federal Democratic leadership, narrowing Jackson's path.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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