Possible scenario
Hearing Proceeds
27% Chance
The administration rejects Cook's request and keeps the November hearing schedule. That outcome would keep the confrontation over Fed independence in the headlines, though Cook would still rely on the existing court order blocking her removal.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.5%
- Technology -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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