Possible scenario
Court Intervention Expands
20% Chance
Cook returns to court and obtains additional relief limiting or pausing the White House hearing process. This path is plausible because the prior injunction already found legal obstacles to removing her while the case proceeds.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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