Possible scenario
Conditional OCC Approval
38% Chance
The OCC treats Modern Treasury's filing as part of a broader digital-asset trust-bank pathway following Bastion's conditional charter. Approval is likely to come with limits on custody, governance, capital, cybersecurity, and segregation of customer assets rather than a broad banking license.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Finance +0.3%
Tickers
- COIN+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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