Possible scenario
Security Hardening Advances
42% Chance
Justice Alito's comments reinforce an already bipartisan view that threats against justices remain elevated after Dobbs and the Kavanaugh plot. The most likely path is practical security expansion rather than a major constitutional or market-moving confrontation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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