Possible scenario
Renewed Execution Warrant
45% Chance
Tennessee officials move quickly to preserve the death sentence by seeking a new warrant from the Tennessee Supreme Court. Because the U.S. Supreme Court had already cleared the execution to proceed, the next fight centers on procedure rather than guilt or sentence validity.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.