Possible scenario
Police And Legal Escalation
18% Chance
A less likely but plausible escalation occurs if a walkout turns into an occupation, blockade or confrontation with security. Memories of the 2024 Columbia and NYU arrests make any police response politically sensitive and likely to trigger litigation and faculty criticism.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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