Peaceful Campus Containment

The most likely path is that NYU and Columbia manage the walkouts as limited, symbolic demonstrations tied to the third anniversary of the Oct. 7 attacks. Administrators keep buildings open, police remain largely off campus, and the story fades after several days of speeches, vigils and counterprogramming.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.