Possible scenario
Demo Proves Narrower
25% Chance
Further review shows the trial was impressive but less general than the headline implied. The market still credits Tesla for useful AI progress, but expectations for rapid Optimus autonomy are marked down.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- TSLA-3.6%
- MSFT+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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