Possible scenario
Hardline Security Response
15% Chance
The government responds to the attack on the officer by deploying additional CRS riot police and gendarmes, banning some demonstrations, and accelerating prosecutions. This may restore order quickly, but it also risks drawing criticism from student groups and civil liberties organizations.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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