Possible scenario
Neutrality Guardrails Prevail
28% Chance
Domestic political resistance narrows the offensive component into a heavily conditioned deterrence capability. Switzerland keeps the strategy language but delays or limits procurement to avoid a referendum fight over neutrality.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- LMT-0.5%
- RTX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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