Possible scenario
Controversy Stalls Race
25% Chance
The allegation dominates several news cycles but does not fundamentally change the race. Voters already inclined toward either candidate interpret the attack through partisan lenses, while undecided voters remain focused on cost of living, abortion, health care, and Trump.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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