Possible scenario
Split Persists
30% Chance
The endorsement does not erase conservative unease over Tafoya's diesel stance. The campaign spends several news cycles answering questions about whether Tafoya supports Trump's red-diesel and federal tax suspension agenda.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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