Possible scenario
GOP Consolidates
35% Chance
Trump's endorsement helps Royce Tafoya unify Minnesota Republicans despite disagreement over diesel restrictions and fuel taxes. The campaign reframes the split as tactical rather than ideological, emphasizing shared opposition to the DFL and federal regulation.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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