Possible scenario
Security First Mandate
25% Chance
Clayton’s intelligence role gives the task force a stronger national-security orientation than investors initially expected. The administration still favors innovation, but it prioritizes China controls, federal model vetting and secure government deployment.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.8%
- Industrials +0.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- PLTR+1.7%
- NVDA-1.4%
- AMD-1.2%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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