Possible scenario
Oversight Backlash Emerges
20% Chance
Researchers and regulators focus on the risk of open-sourcing tooling for self-adapting AI agents shortly after calls for stronger oversight. This creates a modest negative overhang for Alphabet and AI software names, though the impact remains sector-specific rather than macro-systemic.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.0%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- GOOGL-1.9%
- MSFT-0.5%
- CRM-0.4%
- NOW-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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