Possible scenario
Civil Scrutiny Persists
25% Chance
The DOJ’s decision does not end all scrutiny, and civil regulators or private plaintiffs continue examining whether executives’ pre-outage transactions and disclosures were properly handled. This outcome limits the relief rally and keeps governance risk attached to the shares.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- CRWD-3.3%
- MSFT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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