Possible scenario
Talarico Counterattack Works
22% Chance
Talarico reframes the issue around competence, accountability, and Paxton’s own controversies rather than police budgets. Democratic groups respond with testimonials from local officials and families frustrated by law-enforcement failures after Uvalde.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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