Possible scenario
Moderate Gulf Disruption
30% Chance
Isaias tracks close enough to key central and eastern Gulf assets to keep a large portion of offshore production offline beyond the initial evacuation window. Operators report mostly precautionary shut-ins, but restart timing is pushed into the following week for some fields.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.9%
Tickers
- CVX-0.5%
- SHEL-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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