Possible scenario
Glancing Alabama Landfall
45% Chance
Hurricane Isaias makes landfall near the Alabama coast with limited offshore damage and weakens quickly inland. Shell, Chevron and other Gulf operators complete inspections and begin restoring output within 24-48 hours.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- CVX+0.1%
- SHEL+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.