Possible scenario
Oil Companies Win
27% Chance
A majority could accept the Trump administration's position that state-law climate damages suits conflict with federal authority over emissions, energy policy or interstate pollution. This would materially reduce litigation risk for Suncor, Exxon Mobil and other large producers facing similar suits.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.3%
Tickers
- SU+5.4%
- XOM+2.7%
- CVX+1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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