Possible scenario
Deadlock Lets Suits Proceed
35% Chance
Justice Samuel Alito's recusal leaves eight justices, making a 4-4 split a realistic outcome if the remaining conservatives do not fully align. A deadlock would likely leave the lower-court result intact without creating a nationwide Supreme Court precedent, allowing Boulder, San Miguel County and related plaintiffs to keep pressing state-law claims.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
Tickers
- SU-3.9%
- XOM-1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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