Possible scenario
Rally Broadens Beyond AI
20% Chance
A durable version of the rally would require participation beyond megacap AI stocks. Softer inflation, stable yields, or stronger earnings breadth could pull financials, industrials, and consumer cyclicals into the advance.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.9%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.9%
- Finance +0.8%
- Industrials +0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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