Possible scenario
AI Rally Extends
40% Chance
Momentum remains the most likely near-term path after a record Nasdaq close, especially if investors keep rewarding AI infrastructure spending. Nvidia, Microsoft-linked AI demand, and hyperscaler capital expenditure plans continue to anchor the bullish narrative.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.6%
- Business Services +0.4%
- Telecommunications +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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