Possible scenario
Contained Criminal Case
40% Chance
Federal prosecutors use the one-way Saudi Arabia tickets to argue flight risk, but the case remains focused on the charged individual. Investigators do not publicly tie the alleged bugging to Saudi officials, keeping the matter largely within criminal and corporate-security channels.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- MSFT-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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