Possible scenario
Yields Extend Pressure
45% Chance
Gold remains under pressure as investors keep pushing back expectations for Federal Reserve cuts and the dollar stays firm. GLD outflows continue, while China's central-bank buying slows but does not fully offset private-sector selling.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.8%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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