Possible scenario
Talks Drag On
25% Chance
Negotiations continue but become bogged down over cost sharing, legal status of forces, land acquisition, and Pentagon deployment schedules. This is plausible because a 10,000-troop facility would require large infrastructure commitments and congressional appropriations.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- KBR-0.7%
- FLR-0.7%
- GD-0.2%
- LMT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.