Possible scenario
MAGA Backlash Builds
25% Chance
The removal is read by Trump loyalists as distancing from the former president rather than a routine campaign adjustment. Because Donalds' primary win was built around Trump's support, even limited backlash could force a public loyalty test before the general election.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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