Possible scenario
Outbreak Gradually Contained
45% Chance
New York's emergency order and expanded vaccination campaign slow transmission over the next several weeks. State health officials keep the consent suspension narrow, focused on measles exposure clusters and adult vaccination access.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- MRK+1.1%
- CVS+0.3%
- DGX+0.1%
- LH+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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