Possible scenario
Haze Disruption Deepens
45% Chance
Dry El Niño conditions and peat fires in Sumatra and Kalimantan keep smoke levels hazardous across Malaysia and Singapore for several more days. Governments expand health advisories, outdoor work limits, and temporary school closures, but disruption remains mostly regional rather than global.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.8%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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