Possible scenario
Review Is Extended
28% Chance
Regulators do not immediately sue, but they open a deeper review focused on power-market concentration, infrastructure-fund ownership and the impact on AI-driven grid investment. The transaction remains viable, though timing risk widens the deal spread.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- AES-3.1%
- BLK-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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