Controlled Maritime Quarantine

The United States turns the vessel redirection order into a managed quarantine regime, using naval escorts, inspections, and rerouting to limit Iranian cargo movements without fully closing the Strait of Hormuz. This is the most likely path because Washington is signaling enforcement while still trying to avoid an immediate regional war.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.