Possible scenario
Resentencing Stays Local
45% Chance
The most likely path is a case-specific resentencing of Gabriel Horcasitas, with the conviction left intact and the AI-generated Christopher Pelkey video excluded. Arizona courts treat the error as significant for sentencing but avoid making a broad evidentiary rule beyond victim-impact proceedings.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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