Possible scenario
Fed Pushback Emerges
25% Chance
Other Fed officials temper the market’s initial interpretation of Waller’s remarks by stressing data dependence and lagged policy effects. Yields partially retrace, giving relief to rate-sensitive stocks and reducing volatility.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +1.1%
- Technology +1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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