ENDF Advance Stalls

The most likely path is a grinding battlefield pause after the reported ambush, with the Ethiopian National Defense Force reassessing routes, supply lines, and casualty levels. TPLF units retain enough mobility in northern Tigray to keep roads contested, but neither side quickly achieves a decisive breakthrough.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.