Possible scenario
Laundering Continues
38% Chance
THORChain maintains its refusal to block the stolen assets, and the attackers keep fragmenting the funds across chains and liquidity pools. This is the most likely path because decentralized protocols have limited practical ability to censor flows without a governance rupture.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.