Formal Probe Proceeds

The most likely outcome is a formal but bounded oversight process by congressional Democrats and the State Department inspector general. The inquiry focuses on whether Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle or associates used undisclosed lobbying channels tied to the Aktor-linked Greek gas arrangement, while the commercial deal remains broadly intact.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.