Possible scenario
Deal Faces Delays
20% Chance
The probe creates enough reputational and procedural risk that lenders, Greek officials, or commercial counterparties slow parts of the project. The most plausible disruption is delay and renegotiation, not outright cancellation, because European buyers still have strategic demand for U.S. LNG supply.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- VG-3.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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