Possible scenario
Sports NFTs Reaccelerate
40% Chance
FIFA's Avalanche user milestone becomes evidence that licensed sports collectibles can grow again after the 2022-2024 NFT downturn. The most likely path is continued user growth around tournaments, with monetization improving but remaining far below the 2021 NFT peak.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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