Possible scenario
Union Friction Slows Reform
24% Chance
The first partnership does not translate smoothly across the city’s broader labor coalition. Unions representing supervisors, clerical workers, teachers, and uniformed employees demand stronger guarantees on seniority, promotional exams, and limits on provisional hiring.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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