Possible scenario
Rapid Apple Containment
45% Chance
Apple, wallet developers, and third-party marketplace operators move quickly to revoke FomoPeek certificates, remove versions 1.1-1.2, and push emergency mitigations. The exploit remains damaging for affected users but does not become a broad iOS trust crisis.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- AAPL-2.0%
- COIN+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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